Bitget UEX The escalation of the US-Iraq conflict in the daily newspaper stirs the market; oil price booms and futures fall; science and technology unit performance splits

I. Hot spots

Federal Reserve Developments

No significant Fed dynamic update。

Major international commodities

International crude oil is up $8, silver and gold are up MondayInternational oil prices skyrocketed at $8, which was affected by the disruption of oil transport as a result of the intensification of the inter-American conflict。

• BRENT CRUDE OIL TOUCHED US$82.37/BARREL AND WTI CRUDE OIL ROSE TO US$75.33/BARREL。
• Risk-proofing was driven by an increase in spot gold by 1.8 per cent to $5374 per ounce and spot silver by 2.6 per cent to $96 per ounce. A brief analysis of the impact of the market: rising oil prices or exacerbating inflationary pressures and avoiding demand to support precious metals, but rising global energy costs may constrain economic growth。

OPEC+ confirms an increase of 206,000 barrels per day in April and reiterates the flexibility adjustmentOPEC+, based on economic stability and low stocks, agreed to resume a partial voluntary reduction in production, with an increase of 206,000 barrels per day in April。

• It was emphasized that plans could be suspended or reversed in the light of market changes。
• The global economic outlook is stable in support of this decision. A brief analysis of market impacts: Increased production can help balance supply, but the persistence of geo-risks may limit the downward space of oil prices and drive short-term fluctuations。

Macroeconomic policy

Trump says the military operations against Iran are expected to last four weeksFor the first time, United States President Trump responded to United States military casualties in the Iranian conflict, and the operation is expected to continue for about four weeks。

• Three United States troops were killed and the results were within expectations。
• Iran launched the ninth round of strikes and the United States forces destroyed the headquarters of the Revolutionary Guard Corps. A brief analysis of the impact of the market: prolonged conflict increases uncertainty, triggers an increase in demand for risk-averse assets, and global stock market pressure, which may magnify volatility。

Trump said that the new Iranian leadership wanted dialogue and agreed to negotiateTrump revealed that the new Iranian leadership was interested in dialogue and expressed a willingness to communicate。

• Some former negotiators have died。
• It was stressed that the action would be taken well in order to reach agreement. A brief analysis of market impacts: potential negotiating signals or abating tensions and contributing market sentiment repair, but real progress remains at risk。

The Director of Finance of Hong Kong stated that there were plans to deal with war risks in the Middle EastWhile Chen Maobo noted that Hong Kong had limited trade with Iran, the fighting magnified global uncertainty。

• Financial market volatility has increased and funds may flow to Hong Kong as a safe haven。
• Assess the impact of oil prices, gold prices and transport costs. A brief analysis of market impacts: Strengthen Hong Kong ' s risk-averse position or attract financial flows to Asia to increase regional market resilience。

Expert analysis of the impact of the escalation of the Middle East situation on global stock marketsThe escalation of the conflict was described as being influenced by risk pricing, energy cost shocks and monetary policy dilemmas。

• Depending on its scope and duration, it is currently a structural shock。
• oil imports depend heavily on market adjustment pressures. a brief analysis of market impacts: entering a highly volatile segment, european asian stock market under pressure and the united states relative resilient。

Market revisiting

large commodities & foreign exchange performance

• Cash gold: 1.57% increase + strong forward movement
• Cash and silver: up 1.1% + high risk avoidance demand
• WTI CRUDE OIL7.42 to 71.99 per barrel + geo-conflict-driven supply concerns
• United States dollar index: 0.33% to 97.96, robust plus inflation data and exposure support

Encryption Currency Performance

• BTC: up 0.21% to $66583 + small shock rebounds
• ETHFrom 0.21 per cent to 1958 dollars
• Total market value of encrypted currency: Down by 0.8 per cent to $2.36 trillion
• Market warehouse situation: 24H FULL-NETWORK BURSTING WAREHOUSE $412 MILLION, ADDITIONAL SINGLE BURSTING WAREHOUSE $240 MILLION

United States equity index performance

• Finger: Decline by 1.05% + Continuous pressure
• Pistol 500: by 0.43% + moderate adjustment
• Nut finger: Fall by 0.92% + technology board drag

Technology giant dynamics

• Young Wai Da: Down by over 4 per cent
• Apple: Decline by over 3 per cent
• Microsoft: Decline by over 2%
• Tesla: Decline by over 1%
• Meta: Decline by over 1%
• Nafi: up by almost 14 per cent
• Google: Increase by over 1%
• Amazon: 1% INCREASE SUMMARIZING THE CORE CAUSES OF THE RISE AND FALL: PPI INFLATION OVER EXPECTATIONS, THE CREDIT CRISIS AND THE TRIPLE PRESSURE OF THE US-IRAQ WAR CAUSED MOST OF THE FALL, PARTLY BENEFITING FROM PERFORMANCE OR A RISE IN PLATE ROTATION。

Plank Instant Observation

FinanceOver 5% down

• Unit: Goldman Sachs, down by over 7 per cent
• DRIVERS: THE EXPOSURE OF THE UK PRIVATE MFS BANKRUPTCY TO A £2 BILLION RISK EXPOSURE HAS LED TO INCREASED CREDIT CONCERNS。

Hydrocarbon exploration and exploitationPop up

• Unit: Battalion Oil, over 33 per cent
• Driver: High oil prices are affected by geo-conflict and supply disruptions are expected to boost energy stock demand。

Gold and silver sharesMost rise

• Representative Unit: First Majestic Silver, up by almost 3 per cent
• Drivers: The heat of risk avoidance has increased, and high gold and silver prices have led the mining stock to rebound。

III. Depth interpretation

CoreWeave - Quarterly guidance for poor expectations

Summary of eventsTHE DECLINE OF OVER 18 PER CENT IN STOCK PRICES AND A QUARTERLY REVENUE GUIDE OF $1.92 BILLION WAS LOWER THAN THE ANALYST ' S PROJECTION OF $2.29 BILLION, MAINLY DUE TO THE PRE-RECOGNIZATION OF DATA CENTRE RENTAL, ELECTRICITY AND DEPRECIATION COSTS. THE COMPANY HIGHLIGHTED THE STRONG COMPUTING NEEDS OF AI, THE EXTENSION OF THE CUSTOMER CONTRACT TO FIVE YEARS, THE CERTIFICATION OF ITS OWN CLOUD ARCHITECTURE SOFTWARE BY THE BRITISH GOVERNMENT AND THE POTENTIAL FOR FUTURE HIGH MAORI SOFTWARE REVENUE。Market interpretation: The institutional view is that a normalized business would achieve a long-term profit margin of 25-30 per cent and short-term cost pressures would be normal。Investment revelation: SHORT-TERM PROFIT UNDERWRITING BUT STRONG AI DEMAND SUITABLE FOR LONG-TERM OBSERVATION。

2. DALE TECH - THE SURGE IN ORDERS FOR THE AI SERVER AND STRONG PERFORMANCE OUTLOOK

Summary of eventsThe negative share price rose by nearly 22 per cent, with a record catch of $33.4 billion in the fourth quarter, an increase of 39 per cent compared to the forecast of $31.7 billion; and a small gain of $3.89 per share, a 45 per cent increase compared to the forecast of $3.52. The company expects to receive $1380-14.2 million for the 2027 fiscal year, an increase of 23 per cent over the same period, which is higher than the analyst's projection of $126.3 billion。Market interpretationINSTITUTIONAL ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT AIS SERVER DEMAND DRIVES PERFORMANCE AHEAD OF EXPECTATIONS AND REFLECTS A RECOVERY IN INVESTMENT IN SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY。Investment revelation: AI THEME DRIVES SIGNIFICANT GROWTH AND CONFIGURATION VALUES。

Multi-neighbors - First quarter and year-round forecast lower than expected

Summary of events(B) A SHARP 14 PER CENT DECLINE IN EQUITY PRICES, A 35 PER CENT TO $282.9 MILLION INCREASE IN THE FOURTH QUARTER OF LAST YEAR AND A HIGHER THAN EXPECTED ADJUSTMENT OF EBITDA $84.3 MILLION; AND A 30 PER CENT TO 52.7 MILLION INCREASE IN DAILY USERS, WITH THE SLOWEST INCREASE IN FOUR YEARS. THE COMPANY EXPECTS Q1 TO RECEIVE $288.5 MILLION, ADJUSTED BY EBITDA TO $73.6 MILLION, WHICH IS BELOW MARKET EXPECTATIONS AND WILL INCREASE AI ' S INVESTMENT-DRIVEN GROWTH。Market interpretationReedham has reduced the target price from $300 to $145 and is concerned about the slowdown in short-term earnings。Investment revelation: AI INVESTS OR BRINGS LONG-TERM BENEFITS, BUT SHORT-TERM PROFITABILITY IS SUBJECT TO CAUTION。

4. Birkhel-Buffett presented his 2025 perfect response and retired

Summary of eventsTHE MARKET VALUE OF EACH SHARE INCREASED BY 10.9 PER CENT IN 2025, FROM 500 TO 17.9 PER CENT; THE COMPLEX ANNUAL GROWTH RATE OF 19.7 PER CENT IN 1965-2025, OR 10.5 PER CENT; AND THE MARKET VALUE INCREASED BY 60992 TIMES IN 1964-2025. BUFFET OFFICIALLY RETIRED ON 31 DECEMBER AND LEFT CEO BUT CONTINUED TO CHAIR THE BOARD, RETAINING A SIGNIFICANT SHARE。Market interpretation: Institutions appreciate long-term excellence as a benchmark for value investments。Investment revelationManagement transitions are smooth and long-term robustness remains attractive。

SpaceX - Consider filing IPO applications in confidence as soon as March

Summary of eventsSpaceX accelerates the largest IPO in history, submitting a draft registration in secret to the SEC in March at the latest, and aims to be listed in June, raising $50 billion to update the global IPO record。Market interpretationBloomberg quoted the view of those who knew that it reflected the economic potential of space, but that it needed to focus on implementation risks。Investment revelationHigh growth opportunities, but valuation bubbles and regulatory uncertainty need to be carefully assessed。

IV. Developments in encryption money projects

1. Arthur Hayes: The prolonged involvement of the United States in the Iranian conflict would force the Federal Reserve to print money and raise the price of bitcoin。

2. Morgan Chase: The Encrypted Market Structure Bill is expected to be approved by mid-year and become an active catalyst for the second half of the year。

PLATFORM X HAS DELETED THE WORDS “FINANCIAL PRODUCTS, ENCRYPTED CURRENCY” FROM THE CATEGORY “PAY-FOR-COOPERATION POLICY” AND HAS BANNED IT FROM THE CATEGORY OF INDUSTRY。

Michael Saylor re-published Bitcoin Tracker or will disclose additional data。

5. Medium historical return in bitcoin and utpoly for March: 1.55 per cent and -9.33 per cent, respectively。

V. Today ' s market calendar

Data release schedules

The big news

• Dissemination of manufacturing data: All day long - focus on manufacturing landscape versus economic signals。
• Geopolitical developments: full-day monitoring of the latest developments in the inter-American conflict。

Institutional perspective:

The opinion of well-known investment bank analysts suggests that Goldman Sachs does not consider gold price increases to be a super-cyclical indicator of commodities, and that short-term geo-risk supports gold prices, but the strength of the United States dollar leads to gains as a result of high levels of supply restrictions on gold as distinct from metals such as copper. Morgan Stanley and Goldman increased oil price targets due to supply disruptions and the OPEC+ policy, which are expected to increase oil price volatility. On the United States share side, Morgan Stanley is concerned about the downturn in inflation and Al subversion, and the strong foreign exchange dollar that suppresses risky assets, but the high volatility of the market as a whole requires attention to Asian pressures in Europe。

DISCLAIMER: THE ABOVE IS COLLATED BY AI, MANUALLY ISSUED ONLY FOR VALIDATION AND IS NOT RECOMMENDED FOR INVESTMENT。